Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 227.184898 255.680295 287.224109 324.883895 368.818630 418.691099 479.923442
2025-03-02 187.341879 225.716027 271.974377 332.475059 410.451977 508.868594 644.583812
2025-03-09 162.329737 204.346813 257.891792 332.344139 435.151314 575.123868 785.526676
2025-03-16 142.516174 185.472528 242.596819 325.922274 447.501515 623.638415 908.386324
2025-03-23 129.687956 173.676654 234.375811 326.736079 468.339646 685.517123 1061.515731
2025-03-30 117.279830 160.781925 222.666662 320.217546 476.209077 727.557202 1189.978240
2025-04-06 108.391677 151.826622 215.379747 318.927645 491.257798 782.481978 1351.375581
2025-04-13 97.688196 139.120385 201.079919 304.679731 482.647396 795.160483 1436.458315
2025-04-20 94.303144 137.048364 202.708521 316.085605 518.769611 892.558485 1710.458013
2025-04-27 91.662285 135.812118 205.398635 329.370392 559.868909 1006.341012 2049.769753
2025-05-04 86.863367 130.713289 201.276350 330.228907 577.877155 1077.701952 2313.556082
2025-05-11 81.045797 123.501390 192.984393 322.643999 578.425368 1112.809531 2499.435890
2025-05-18 75.877206 117.113261 185.774695 316.686417 582.243236 1157.580918 2729.641780
2025-05-25 73.315111 114.906090 185.611439 323.986062 614.456269 1272.880930 3194.068074
2025-06-01 69.850509 110.882413 181.859740 323.861564 630.781255 1354.272399 3591.637395
2025-06-08 65.826126 105.600921 175.401250 317.640557 632.732645 1400.714499 3898.783363
2025-06-15 63.119127 102.444502 172.566925 318.428950 650.634234 1491.782006 4393.554416
2025-06-22 59.708093 97.807855 166.613854 312.113591 651.007400 1536.263421 4743.651222
2025-06-29 57.201530 94.648012 163.218303 310.863784 663.393651 1616.966309 5270.474012
2025-07-06 53.381405 88.866474 154.394775 297.056247 642.922981 1598.964189 5393.437191
2025-07-13 52.702475 88.848877 156.776121 308.109951 686.983387 1783.745595 6483.515246
2025-07-20 52.221764 89.162306 159.820071 320.980890 738.045512 2005.192921 7902.521743
2025-07-27 50.504827 87.015072 157.739803 321.812529 756.786503 2126.457118 8912.902377